Gujarat Election Presiding Officer Ratre Taiyar Karva Ni Vigato.
Times Now in collaboration with VMR has conducted an opinion survey ahead of the Gujarat Assembly elections, which has predicted an upper hand for the BJP in the upcoming polls in the state. The survey, based on a sample size of 6,000 respondents spread across all regions of the state, has predicted a comfortable win for the BJP. (The survey has a margin of error of plus, minus 3 percent)
Seat share projections
The Times Now-VMR opinion survey projects that the BJP could secure around 118-134 seats (52 percent of votes) in the Gujarat assembly elections. The Congress could secure around 49-61 seats (37 percent votes). While this means that the BJP does have enough numbers, it might not reach the desired number of 150.
Times Now in collaboration with VMR has conducted an opinion survey ahead of the Gujarat Assembly elections, which has predicted an upper hand for the BJP in the upcoming polls in the state. The survey, based on a sample size of 6,000 respondents spread across all regions of the state, has predicted a comfortable win for the BJP. (The survey has a margin of error of plus, minus 3 percent)
Seat share projections
The Times Now-VMR opinion survey projects that the BJP could secure around 118-134 seats (52 percent of votes) in the Gujarat assembly elections. The Congress could secure around 49-61 seats (37 percent votes). While this means that the BJP does have enough numbers, it might not reach the desired number of 150.
This means there is no noticeable change in seat share projections in 2017 over 2012 results for the Congress, but the BJP has increased its seat tally.
BJP is predicted to increase its vote share by a significant 4 % despite Narendra Modi not being at the helm of affairs in the state since 2014 - when it secured 48 percent of votes, thus dispelling the notion that Modi not outside the state and in the centre somehow weakens the BJP.
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The Congress overdrive in trying to woo caste leaders among Dalits and Patidars may not have had a significant electoral impact. In the contest between the Congress' attempt at strategic caste alliances in the state, and the BJP's well oiled electoral machinery, the latter may win out.
However, there is a noticeable drop in the BJP's projected performance, when compared to its performance in the 2014 General Assembly elections. There is a noticeable drop in its vote share as well, from 60 % in 2014 to 52 % in 2017.
Similarly, Congress has improved its performance, both in terms of projected seat share and vote share, when compared to 2014 general election results.
Times Now asked five broad questions to the respondents of the survey:
- Is the BJP’s Gujarat 'Gaurav' a winning slogan?
- Is Narendra Modi's performance as Prime Minister a factor?
- Has Rahul Gandhi read the mood right?
- Can the BJP achieve mission-150?
- Who will win Gujarat polls?
Around 46% of the respondents believe that the proposed Sardar Vallabhbai Patel statue enhances the 'Gujarat Asmita' while 21% believe that it is merely a poll stunt.
Around 81% of the respondents stated that they will continue to vote for the BJP in Gujarat because Prime Minister Narendra Modi is the son of the soil. In 2012, this sentiment was at 60% which means Prime Minister Narendra Modi has brought 20% extra strike rate confirming Gujarat takes pride in Narendra Modi's Prime Ministerial status. This also dispels the notion that Narendra Modi at the centre has weakened the regional pull of the BJP.
Here is what Gujarat Chief Minister Vijay Rupani had to say about the predictions:
However, there is a noticeable drop in the BJP's projected performance, when compared to its performance in the 2014 General Assembly elections. There is a noticeable drop in its vote share as well, from 60 % in 2014 to 52 % in 2017.
Similarly, Congress has improved its performance, both in terms of projected seat share and vote share, when compared to 2014 general election results.
Times Now asked five broad questions to the respondents of the survey:
- Is the BJP’s Gujarat 'Gaurav' a winning slogan?
- Is Narendra Modi's performance as Prime Minister a factor?
- Has Rahul Gandhi read the mood right?
- Can the BJP achieve mission-150?
- Who will win Gujarat polls?
Around 46% of the respondents believe that the proposed Sardar Vallabhbai Patel statue enhances the 'Gujarat Asmita' while 21% believe that it is merely a poll stunt.
Around 81% of the respondents stated that they will continue to vote for the BJP in Gujarat because Prime Minister Narendra Modi is the son of the soil. In 2012, this sentiment was at 60% which means Prime Minister Narendra Modi has brought 20% extra strike rate confirming Gujarat takes pride in Narendra Modi's Prime Ministerial status. This also dispels the notion that Narendra Modi at the centre has weakened the regional pull of the BJP.
Here is what Gujarat Chief Minister Vijay Rupani had to say about the predictions:
The Election Commission announced the much-awaited dates for Gujarat Assembly Elections 2017 on Wednesday. The polling will be held in two phases - on December 9 and December 14. Out of the total 182 Assembly constituencies, 89 will go to vote in the first phase while the second phase would see polling in 93 seats. The counting of votes will take place on December 18.
Gujarat Election Presiding Officer Ratre Taiyar Karva Ni Vigato.
Read Details Clickhere
Gujarat Election Presiding Officer Ratre Taiyar Karva Ni Vigato.
Read Details Clickhere
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